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Capital humano y crecimiento económico en Venezuela (página 3)


Partes: 1, 2, 3, 4

Ecuaciones:

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LK + (2LPO + (3LHSU1 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LPT + (3LHSU1 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LPEA + (3LHSU1 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LPO + (3LHSU1 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1Lk + (2LHSU1 + (

Resultados Empíricos

ECUACION

5.1

5.2

5.3

5.4

5.5

PERIODO

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

N° DE OBSERVACIONES

52

52

52

52

52

VARIABLE DEPENDIENTE

LPIB

LPIB

LPIB

LPIB

LPIB

CONSTANTE

6,6625

3,9993

7,0792

8,2715

0,602

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

LK

0,5187

(0,000)

LI

0,18797

0,1582

0,1688

0,169

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,001)

(0,001)

LPT

1,7387

(0,000)

LPEA

2,2212

(0,000)

LPO

1,6024

1,9543

(0,000)

(0,000)

LHSU1

-0,5792

-0,29091

-0,5486

-0,5004

-0,147

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,001)

R2

0,98041

0,9916

0,99027

0,9667

0,9480

R2 AJUST

0,9792

0,991

0,98967

0,9647

0,9459

CRDW

0,6006

0,8292

0,7373

0,3883

0,2587

DF

-2,814

-3,5223

-3,1771

-2,7707

-1,8857

ADF

-3,4203

-3,2462

-3,5319

-2,9564

-2,7431

IV.2.6.- Estimaciones para el PIBNP con el componente de capital humano (HSU1)

Ecuaciones:

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LKNP + (2LPT + (3LHSU1 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LKNP + (2LPEA + (3LHSU1 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LKNP + (2LPONP + (3LHSU1 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LINP + (2LPT + (3LHSU1 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LINP + (2LPEA + (3LHSU1 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LINP + (2LPONP + (3LHSU1 + (

Resultados Empíricos

ECUACION

6.1

6.2

6.3

6.4

6.5

6.6

6.7

PERIODO

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

N° DE OBSERVACIONES

52

52

52

52

52

52

52

VARIABLE DEPENDIENTE

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

CONSTANTE

1,8712

3,8373

4,3772

2,0443

4,2845

3,9808

0,230

(0,001)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,056)

LKNP

0,5898

0,4996

0,6137

0,867

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

LINP

0,27406

0,2659

0,32394

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

LPT

0,9887

1,3514

(0,002)

(0,000)

LPEA

1,3543

1,6721

(0,000)

(0,000)

LPONP

1,1398

1,1378

(0,000)

(0,000)

LHSU1

-0,2243

-0,3931

-0,4069

-0,09339

-0,2767

-0,1138

-0,070

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,157)

(0,013)

R2

0,9802

0,9823

0,98898

0,9965

0,9947

0,9825

0,9758

R2 AJUST

0,979

0,98123

0,98831

0,9963

0,9943

0,9814

0,9748

CRDW

0,3513

0,3874

0,41765

0,9937

0,6938

0,2856

0,2847

DF

-2,0442

-2,066

-2,0623

-3,8529

-2,5995

-1,7271

-1,9724

ADF

-2,6884

-2,8002

-3,1718

-3,1703

-2,3346

-1,8454

-2,6194

IV.2.7.- Estimaciones para el PIB con el componente de capital humano (HSU2)(Datos corregidos)

Ecuaciones:

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LK + (2LPO + (3LHSU2 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LPT + (3LHSU2 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LPEA + (3LHSU2 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LPO + (3LHSU2 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LK + (2LHSU2 + (

Resultados Empíricos

ECUACION

7.1

7.2

7.3

7.4

7.5

PERIODO

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

N° DE

OBSERVACIONES

52

52

52

52

52

VARIABLE DEPENDIENTE

LPIB

LPIB

LPIB

LPIB

LPIBNP

CONSTANTE

8,7750

4,1418

8,0164

9,9374

0,608

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,004)

LK

0,5354

0,933

(0,000)

(0,000)

LI

0,2038

0,1826

0,1739

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,002)

LPT

1,8901

(0,000)

LPEA

2,6537

(0,000)

LPO

2,2567

2,4696

(0,000)

(0,000)

LHSU2

-0,8402

-0,3388

-0,7062

-0,6994

-0,125

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,013)

R2

0,9784

0,9904

0,9878

0,9632

0,9426

R2 AJUST

0,9771

0,9898

0,9870

0,9609

0,9403

CRDW

0,7260

0,7511

0,6451

0,4762

0,2394

DF

-2,9750

-3,2709

-2,8086

-2,8917

-1,8236

ADF

-3,1201

-2,9242

-2,8899

-2,6181

-2,6707

IV.2.8.- Estimaciones para el PIBNP con el componente de capital humano (HSU2)(Datos corregidos)

Ecuaciones:

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LKNP + (2LPT + (3LHSU2 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LKNP + (2LPEA + (3LHSU2 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LKNP + (2LPONP + (3LHSU2 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LINP + (2LPT + (3LHSU2 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LINP + (2LPEA + (3LHSU2 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LKNP + (2LHSU2 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LINP + (2LHSU2 + (

Resultados Empíricos

ECUACION

8.1

8.2

8.3

8.4

8.5

8.6

8.7

PERIODO

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

N° DE OBSERVACIONES

52

52

52

52

52

52

52

VARIABLE DEPENDIENTE

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

CONSTANTE

1,8414

4,1085

5,9866

2,1212

4,8682

0,216

-0,237

(0,004)

(0,002)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,079)

(0,072)

LKNP

0,5545

0,5351

0,6252

0,854

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

LINP

0,2762

0,2725

0,433

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

LPT

1,0067

1,4190

(0,010)

(0,000)

LPEA

1,4995

1,9335

(0,003)

(0,000)

LPONP

1,6242

(0,000)

LHSU2

-0,2384

-0,4586

-0,6028

-0,1144

-0,3709

-0,061

0,341

(0,002)

(0,001)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,051)

(0,000)

R2

0,9779

0,9788

0,9896

0,9966

0,9948

0,9746

0,9766

R2 AJUST

0,9765

0,9775

0,9890

0,9964

0,9945

0,9736

0,9757

CRDW

0,3165

0,3277

0,4583

1,0383

0,7777

0,2745

0,2640

DF

-1,9174

-1,8605

-2,0991

-3,9129

-2,7413

-1,8632

-2,3858

ADF

-2,5797

-2,5749

-3,0080

-3,2997

-2,4200

-2,5537

-2,2960

IV.2.9.- Estimaciones para el PIB y el PIBNP combinando los componentes de capital humano (HPRI, HSE y HSU1)

Ecuaciones:

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LK + (2LPO + (3LHPRI + (4LHSU1 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LPEA +(3 LHPRI + (4LHSU1 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LPO +(3 LHPRI + (4 LHSU1 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LHPRI + (3LHSU1 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LKNP + (2LPT + (3LHPRI + (4LHSE + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LKNP + (2LPEA + (3LHPRI + (4LHSE + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LINP + (2LHPRI + (3LHSE + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LINP + (2LPEA + (3LHPRI + (4LHSU1 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LKNP + (2LHPRI + (3LHSU1 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LINP + (2LHPRI + (3LHSU1 + (

Resultados Empíricos

ECUACION

9.1

9.2

9.3

9.4

9.5

9.6

9.7

9.8

9.9

9.10

PERIODO

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

N° DE OBSERVACIONES

52

52

52

52

52

52

52

52

52

52

VARIABLE DEPENDIENTE

LPIB

LPIB

LPIB

LPIB

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

CONSTANTE

4,693

4,759

1,759

0,349

-2,365

-2,402

-0,592

1,297

-0,122

-0,674

(0,000)

(0,005)

(0,031)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,311)

(0,410)

(0,000)

LK

0,254

(0,027)

LKNP

0,551

0,496

0,542

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

LI

0,168

0,173

0,194

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

LINP

0,237

0,269

0,276

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

LPT

-1,204

(0,000)

LPEA

1,441

-0,846

0,666

(0,011)

(0,000)

(0,125)

LPO

1,088

0,327

(0,000)

(0,114)

LHPRI

0,200

0,133

0,328

0,367

0,350

0,220

0,275

0,176

0,208

0,285

(0,005)

(0,150)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,004)

(0,000)

(0,019)

(0,001)

(0,000)

LHSE

0,149

0,221

0,086

(0,086)

(0,032)

(0,010)

LHSU1

-0,437

-0,384

-0,162

-0,071

-0,067

-0,104

0,079

(0,000)

(0,002)

(0,009)

(0,000)

(0,486)

(0,000)

(0,000)

R2

0,9834

0,9907

0,9899

0,9893

0,9814

0,9814

0,9939

0,9953

0,9806

0,9951

R2 AJUST

0,9820

0,9899

0,9890

0,9887

0,9799

0,9799

0,9935

0,9949

0,9794

0,9948

CRDW

0,5915

0,7298

0,6454

0,6605

0,3598

0,3764

0,5535

0,7162

0,3459

0,7004

DF

-2,7683

-3,3141

-3,4177

-3,4086

-2,2080

-2,2670

-2,7788

-3,0403

-2,0508

-3,3149

ADF

-3,6605

-3,5936

-3,7113

-3,5017

-3,2674

-3,1971

-3,2957

-2,9668

-2,8284

-3,4146

IV.2.10.- Estimaciones para el PIB y el PIBNP combinando los componentes de capital humano (HPRI, y HSU2)

Ecuaciones:

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LK + (2LPO + (3LHPRI + (4LHSU2 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LPT + (3LHPRI + (4LHSU2 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LPEA + (3LHPRI + (4LHSU2 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LPO + (3LHPRI + (4LHSU2 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LHPRI + (3LHSU2 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LINP + (2LPEA + (3LHPRI + (4LHSU2 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LKNP + (2LHPRI + (3LHSU2 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LINP + (2LHPRI + (3LHSU2 + (

Resultados Empíricos

ECUACION

10.1

10.2

10.3

10.4

10.5

10.6

10.7

10.8

PERIODO

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

N° DE OBSERVACIONES

52

52

52

52

52

52

52

52

VARIABLE DEPENDIENTE

LPIB

LPIB

LPIB

LPIB

LPIB

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

CONSTANTE

5,888

2,764

3,485

2,855

0,450

2,283

-0,185

-0,633

(0,000)

(0,002)

(0,009)

(0,003)

(0,000)

(0,026)

(0,243)

(0,000)

LK

0,167

(0,098)

LKNP

0,522

(0,000)

LI

0,197

0,183

0,157

0,195

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

LINP

0,265

0,271

(0,000)

(0,000)

LPT

1,190

(0,008)

LPEA

1,072

1,031

(0,021)

(0,005)

LPO

1,479

0,652

(0,000)

(0,010)

LHPRI

0,266

0,146

0,237

0,332

0,379

0,142

0,228

0,279

(0,000)

(0,101)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,007)

(0,001)

(0,000)

LHSU2

-0,609

-0,248

-0,344

-0,291

-0,081

-0,170

-0,011

0,083

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,003)

(0,001)

(0,000)

(0,059)

(0,001)

(0,000)

R2

0,9853

0,9909

0,9906

0,9908

0,9894

0,9956

0,9799

0,9947

R2 AJUST

0,9841

0,9901

0,9898

0,9901

0,9888

0,9952

0,9787

0,9944

CRDW

0,7190

0,7764

0,7382

0,7247

0,6734

0,7867

0,3343

0,6532

DF

-2,9302

-3,4115

-3,3131

-3,5127

-3,4048

-3,0329

-2,0004

-3,1455

ADF

-3,6467

-3,1608

-3,4099

-3,8231

-3,4737

-2,9117

-2,7816

-3,2555

IV.2.11.- Estimaciones para el PIB y el PIBNP combinando los componentes de capital humano (HSE y HSU1)

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LPO + (3LHSE + (4LHSU1 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LK + (2LHSE + (3LHSU1 + (

  • LPIB = (0 + (1LI + (2LHSE + (3LHSU1 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LKNP + (2LPT + (3LHSE + (4LHSU1 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LKNP + (2LPEA + (3LHSE + (4LHSU1 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LINP + (2LPONP + (3LHSE + (4LHSU1 + (

  • LPIBNP = (0 + (1LKNP + (2LHSE + (3LHSU1 + (

Resultados Empíricos

ECUACION

11.1

11.2

11.3

11.4

11.5

11.6

11.7

PERIODO

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

50-02

N° DE OBSERVACIONES

52

52

52

52

52

52

52

VARIABLE DEPENDIENTE

LPIB

LPIB

LPIB

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

LPIBNP

CONSTANTE

5,491

1,016

1,217

0,925

2,080

1,544

0,221

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,089)

(0,043)

(0,090)

(0,027)

LK

0,4075

(0,000)

LKNP

0,410

0,409

0,493

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

LI

0,1168

0,1573

(0,018)

(0,004)

LINP

0,2439

(0,000)

LPT

0,417

(0,188)

LPEA

0,697

(0,069)

LPO

1,1788

(0,000)

LPONP

0,449

(0,069)

LHSE

0,272

0,409

0,493

0,294

0,251

0,304

0,349

(0,001)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,001)

(0,006)

(0,000)

(0,000)

LHSU1

-0,460

-0,301

-0,219

-0,278

-0,358

-0,142

-0,239

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,000)

(0,047)

(0,000)

R2

0,9732

0,9656

0,9652

0,9844

0,9849

0,9870

0,9838

R2 AJUST

0,9709

0,9635

0,9630

0,9831

0,9836

0,9859

0,9828

CRDW

0,3291

0,3598

0,2465

0,4371

0,4460

0,2577

0,4182

DF

-2,9176

-2,5323

-2,7327

-2,3851

-3,3508

-2,1672

-2,4338

ADF

-3,4886

-3,3007

-3,1667

-3,3367

-3,3416

-2,8487

-3,4267

IV.2.12.- Estimaciones para el PIB y el PIBNP combinando los componentes de capital humano (HSE y HSU2)

Partes: 1, 2, 3, 4
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